Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 3.762997 4.444785 5.241258 6.247167 7.493169 8.998242 10.972582
2024-12-22 2.696802 3.509335 4.577967 6.113199 8.307353 11.401838 16.229252
2024-12-29 2.191963 3.033337 4.227999 6.098984 9.052718 13.713635 22.011163
2025-01-05 1.839723 2.666963 3.912448 5.999659 9.570021 15.756135 28.103438
2025-01-12 1.634601 2.467776 3.788823 6.142017 10.476851 18.684644 37.019745
2025-01-19 1.427131 2.224859 3.543048 6.010575 10.844093 20.713888 45.057607
2025-01-26 1.342783 2.165656 3.586634 6.393566 12.278529 25.368743 61.631794
2025-02-02 1.254865 2.084828 3.574808 6.663381 13.553715 30.159815 81.657940
2025-02-09 1.183467 2.021352 3.581431 6.967390 14.990791 35.933683 108.897350
2025-02-16 1.102190 1.927722 3.513993 7.098160 16.060080 41.217606 139.048556
2025-02-23 1.036447 1.854227 3.473861 7.279442 17.313906 47.629977 179.889380
2025-03-02 0.954584 1.738985 3.330807 7.192103 17.830047 52.023563 216.931485
2025-03-09 0.895380 1.674706 3.313664 7.481675 19.750032 63.143808 309.035284
2025-03-16 0.804818 1.537146 3.121803 7.308970 20.325035 70.250636 396.688280
2025-03-23 0.738019 1.439349 3.001067 7.291590 21.404121 80.399064 532.667760
2025-03-30 0.674005 1.338486 2.855511 7.168621 22.090529 89.587516 692.548026
2025-04-06 0.634429 1.286055 2.816766 7.344883 23.969678 106.681267 1004.276326
2025-04-13 0.582437 1.198655 2.677054 7.182131 24.486246 117.209463 1297.987711
2025-04-20 0.565304 1.189549 2.734670 7.656766 27.907334 149.788722 2176.363108
2025-04-27 0.542928 1.164905 2.747310 7.991887 30.961893 185.192328 3550.321953
2025-05-04 0.523582 1.145003 2.769396 8.370189 34.511027 231.425002 6092.817272
2025-05-11 0.498119 1.106640 2.733596 8.533143 37.118605 275.532394 9853.059265
2025-05-18 0.476720 1.075987 2.715040 8.759258 40.281546 333.413731 17050.862322